Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000101 0.000112 0.000123 0.000136 0.000151 0.000167 0.000185
2025-12-14 0.000086 0.000100 0.000117 0.000138 0.000162 0.000189 0.000223
2025-12-21 0.000074 0.000091 0.000112 0.000138 0.000170 0.000209 0.000261
2025-12-28 0.000065 0.000083 0.000106 0.000137 0.000176 0.000227 0.000296
2026-01-04 0.000058 0.000078 0.000103 0.000138 0.000186 0.000249 0.000340
2026-01-11 0.000053 0.000073 0.000100 0.000139 0.000194 0.000269 0.000381
2026-01-18 0.000048 0.000068 0.000096 0.000138 0.000200 0.000287 0.000422
2026-01-25 0.000044 0.000064 0.000093 0.000137 0.000205 0.000303 0.000462
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000061 0.000090 0.000137 0.000211 0.000322 0.000506
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000057 0.000087 0.000136 0.000214 0.000336 0.000544
2026-02-15 0.000034 0.000054 0.000084 0.000135 0.000218 0.000352 0.000586
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000052 0.000082 0.000135 0.000224 0.000370 0.000634
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000049 0.000080 0.000133 0.000227 0.000385 0.000679
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000135 0.000236 0.000411 0.000745
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000045 0.000077 0.000136 0.000243 0.000433 0.000806
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000043 0.000075 0.000135 0.000247 0.000450 0.000861
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000042 0.000075 0.000137 0.000256 0.000478 0.000938
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000041 0.000074 0.000138 0.000262 0.000501 0.001007
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000039 0.000072 0.000137 0.000267 0.000521 0.001072
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000038 0.000070 0.000136 0.000271 0.000539 0.001136
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000036 0.000069 0.000136 0.000276 0.000562 0.001211
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000035 0.000067 0.000135 0.000278 0.000576 0.001269
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000033 0.000065 0.000134 0.000281 0.000595 0.001338